The German Renewable Energy Industry Association (Bundesverband Erneuerbare Energie e.V.) just published a paper showing that Germany will be one of only five EU Member States failing to achieve their renewable energy share required by the EU Renewable Energy Directive.
Under the Directive, Germany is required to achieve a share of 18% until 2020. Last year’s figure was 14.6%. The paper expects that only 16.7% will be reached until 2020, while the German government’s plan in 2010 called for reaching 19.6%.
The policy failures of recent years are to blame for this. Obviously the switch to auctions has slowed down renewable energy massively.
Now Germany risks to be in violation of the EU Directive in a couple of years. That would make this particular policy failure illegal under EU law. There’s not much time left to avoid such an unfortunate result.
The auction model is supposed to be more market-oriented. It is not. In an auction model, the amount of new installations is decided by the government, not the market. If you have 300 MW of solar auctions, the market can’t decide to do 3 GW instead.
If so, the responsibility for failing to achieve the 2020 minimum goal rests even more clearly with the government. Why don’t they at least increase the capacity auctioned to a path leading to achieving 18%?