Archive for the 'Energy from the desert' category

Misleading Anti-Desertec Propaganda by Craig Morris

May 15 2013 Published by under Energy from the desert

Craig Morris just posted this nonsense. He really did:

Over the weekend, Deutsche Welle published a report that went almost unnoticed – the Desertec project “has been shelved.” Yet, when the project was announced, there was a lot of attention.

Of course, the Deutsche Welle article cited by Morris does not say “Desertec has been shelved”. He really should consider removing this misleading statement from his article. The article at Deutsche Welle, while trying hard to make Desertec look bad, actually reports that construction at Ourzazate has started. All the author of that piece says is that probably most of the electricity from that project will be consumed in Morocco, instead of being sold to the European Union.

If some day this kind of misleading statement was actually true, one would need to source it from Desertec or from the Desertec industrial initiative. I just checked their websites. It is a complete fabrication to assert that they have shelved the project.

Looking at the DII website, one notices that, quite on the contrary, the latest news is that the project at Ourzazate just launched construction.

Update: After some discussion on Twitter, I get the impression that Morris did not want to say “Desertec has been shelved”. He wanted to say something like “some projects in Morocco won’t deliver electricity from desert sites to Europe, but use the electricity themselves instead”. He also wrote that he actually likes power from the desert, as long as it is used for the people living there.

Still “Desertec is shelved” is rather different than “there will be no electricity transmissions from Morocco”.

As to this latter point, that will be just a question of market forces once the connections are there (there is already a small connection between Spain and Morocco, but there will be more of the same in the future). Having a larger area of the network will help stability of supply and be in the economic interest of everybody involved. There is no reason to artificially restrict access to the EU electricity market for African states.

It is much too early to say anything about how that will play out. We need to build some massive desert capacity first before we can see where it will be used.

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Google “Renewable Energy Tariff” White Paper

Google has released a White Paper titled “Expanding Renewable Energy Options For Companies Through Utility-Offered “Renewable Energy Tariffs”. Thanks to this blog post by North American Windpower and this tweet by Chris Young for the link.

Google has invested over $1 billion in renewable energy projects. They have two basic policy guidelines. From the White Paper:

• First, our efforts must result in “additional” renewable power generation. We’re not interested in reshuffling the output of existing projects, and where possible, we wan to undertake efforts near our data centers and operations.

• Second, we want our activities to be scalable and have the highest possible impact on the industry. When possible, our efforts should directly address problems that limit the growth of renewable energy.

As a consequence, their approach until now was either building and owning the capacity themselves, as with the 1.7 MW solar PV at Google headquarters, or buy the electricity directly from a renewable project owned by someone else, and selling excess capacity back into the grid.

Now they propose “renewable energy tariffs”.

That is not, as one might misunderstand, a feed-in tariff.

Instead, it is something the German utility Lichtblick has done for 15 years. They want an utility to deliver renewable energy (at a higher price than dirty energy). They want someone else to worry about all the problems associated with selling clean energy and concentrate on developing new search engines. That makes sense.

It made sense in Germany 15 years ago when Lichtblick was founded, an utility that sells only renewable electricity. It made sense in Germany 5 years ago when the German Parliament decided to buy their electricity from Lichtblick, going all renewable.

Of course there is a market for clean electricity. Some American utility should start serving it.

Google proposes to start this market by selling to large industrial customers. But there is really no reason why household customers should be excluded from buying clean energy. Lichtblick has over 600,000 customers now, and of course most of them are private citizens.

And while I am at it, Google might want to locate a couple of data centers in the Sahara and Gobi deserts. That would be rather compatible with their principle 2 mentioned above. Having this large source of electricity demand would help getting desert projects off the ground as long as the World Wide Grid is still not available.

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Clean Energy Ministerial 2013

Apr 20 2013 Published by under Energy from the desert

The “Clean Energy Ministerial” is an informal cooperation project where once a year energy ministers of the major industrialized countries meet. Topics are renewable energy, energy efficiency, and access to energy.

This year’s meeting just finished in India. The Clean Energy Ministerial has a dedicated website, and they give some information about the results on their blog, in a post titled “World Energy Leaders Take Action On Clean Energy”. Next year Korea will host the conference.

I have looked at the blog post and some PDF files providing background information. But as far as I can tell, they didn’t even discuss energy from the desert. That is unfortunate. This kind of forum would be exactly the right place to discuss how to get these large-scale international projects up to speed.

That said, there were a couple of interesting highlights.

For one, they are sponsoring a competition for energy efficient technology. This year, television screens were the object of the competition. Samsung won. That means that they can now use that fact in their advertising efforts. More people will buy Samsung television screens and use less electricity as a result.

Next up is a competition for the most efficient electric motor. As I learned from their releases, actually 43% of the World’s electricity is used by motors. So this makes sense as a target for the next step.

They have also released a “Global Electric Vehicle Outlook”. See this report at CleanProgress.

As a result of this initiative, a global quality standard and test method for solar LED lanterns has been published in April of this year.

All of which is nice, but there really should be some discussion on Desertec in this forum.

 

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Japan-Mongolia Low Carbon Partnership Update

Apr 14 2013 Published by under Energy from the desert, Mongolia

As I reported in January, Japan and Mongolia have signed an agreement on joint actions to counter global warming.

Now the first meeting of the “Joint Committee” has been held in Ulaan Baatar on April 11, see this press release by the Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry.

The Japanese Government also has released a 39 page PDF file on their ideas about this program in March.

While this might be useful for any large-scale renewable energy project in the Gobi, there is still no word about this either in the latest press release or the March PDF file.

I hope this changes soon.

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Another Way to Use Energy in the Desert: Suck Up CO2

Apr 03 2013 Published by under Energy from the desert

Paul Gipe just posted an article looking back at his three decades of renewable advocacy titled “100 Percent Renewable Vision Building”.

In that article Gipe describes how reality has performed much better than what was expected decades ago. And now we are discussing 100 percent renewable.

That is a great article, and I recommend reading it.

But it also gave me a new idea.

One of the problems with building large scale renewable energy projects in the desert is that you need long power lines connecting the desert sites to the World’s cities. Those need time and cost money.

So I have been looking for alternatives before, and I have come up with some, like transporting quicklime or making silicon.

Another one would be to use the energy right in the desert to suck up CO2 from the atmosphere. It can be done already with present technology, and interest in doing that will increase a lot over the coming decades, once the damages from global warming become even higher than the $1.2 TRILLION a year right now.

I’m bringing this up because to get 100% renewable energy with intermittent sources, you need much more than 100% of peak capacity installed. Which leads to lots of time slots where you get much more than 100% of demand. One way to use the excess energy is extracting CO2 from the atmosphere. And the nice thing about that is that it doesn’t matter where you do the extracting. Any desert site will do.

Obviously, there needs to be a steady income stream from CO2 cleanup, and it needs to cover the costs. That is a problem that would have to be solved one way or another.

But the point of this post is just to note this idea for further reference later on. It is one more way of using energy right in the desert without a grid in place.

 

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Third Round of Negotiations on Japan-Mongolia EPA

Mar 27 2013 Published by under Energy from the desert, Mongolia

The Japanese Foreign Ministry just announced that the third round of negotiations is scheduled for April 2 to 5 in Ulaan Baatar (note that I change the spelling of Mongolia’s capital as of this post, even if Wikipedia still has the old version). I have nibbled enough at learning Mongolian to know that “Ulan Bator” is just a completely wrong way to say “red hero”.

Topics on the agenda are plenty. Unfortunately none of them is large scale renewable energy in the Gobi desert, at least not on the list of topics disclosed by the Foreign Ministry.

That should change, in my humble opinion.

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Friends of the Supergrid

Over this article I found at the Reddit renewable energy community I just heard of the “Friends of the Supergrid” organization and website.

According to the article, they intend to spend about EUR 200 billion for high voltage direct current connections, with a view of balancing supply and demand in renewable electricity over a large area. As I just commented on Reddit, EUR 200 billion seems a large sum of money, until you realize that the EU is spending EUR 500 billion each year alone for oil imports. Lowering the fossil fuel import bill should save at least EUR 200 billion over a couple of decades.

The website is here, I just registered for e-mail alerts. They also have a Twitter account, which I followed just now:

@FOSG_EU

Unfortunately, there is not much activity on that Twitter account, they have managed only 12 tweets over a couple of years.

Their website describes the project in one short sentence like this:

Friends of the Supergrid is a group of companies with a mutual interest in promoting the energy policy agenda for a European electricity supergrid

This is mainly an association of industry, somewhat like the Desertec industrial initiative.

I wonder if they have heard of Masayoshi Son’s “Asia Super Grid” idea. And I wonder if Masayoshi Son has heard about them.

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Europe Paying EUR 500 Billion a Year For Oil

Mar 19 2013 Published by under Energy from the desert

Yet another fact I learned from the excellent report “Europe facing peak oil” by - Benoît Thévard, commissioned by the Greens in the European Parliament, at page 37.

Oil is accounting for 38% of primary energy consumed in the EU, and only 13% of that has been produced there, leaving 87% to be purchased abroad, for EUR 500 billion. By 2020, the dependence on imports will rise to 92%.

That would seem to present some interesting opportunities for saving money, by increasing efficiency and deploying renewable energy on a massive scale. In the 37 years left until 2050, those EUR 500 billion add up to EUR 18.5 trillion, and that’s not even factoring in that oil will only get much more expensive in the coming decades.

Considering this kind of money, the estimate of a measly EUR 666 billion for the Desertec project looks rather lacking in ambition.

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Phaseout Profit Theory

I have been writing quite a lot of posts about energy on this blog since the Fukushima accident. Many of those were just reacting to things other people said. Many others were just reporting on statistics. But some of them were introducing some own ideas.

The most important of those ideas did not have a name until this post. I am calling it “Phaseout Profit Theory” as of now.

For example, I have described it in this post titled “The simple solution for global warming” from last July, and in many others.

The basic argument is this:

If regulation forces fossil fuel producers to reduce the supply of their product, that will, all things equal, increase the price of oil, coal, and natural gas.

Increasing the price will lead to higher profits for them.

It will also lead to much higher valuations for the oil fields and other fossil fuel reserves they own. That alone will send profits through the roof, even before they sell the first barrel of oil.

So why does everybody assume that fossil fuel interests should be opposed to regulation bringing their production down? They should join forces with 350.org and Joe Romm, and start fighting for the privilege of selling much less.

That, in a very short summary, is the basic idea. I happen to think it is correct, and it would completely change the political landscape, if true.

So, here is a short name for this. “Phaseout Profit Theory”. A Google search for that returns nothing right now, which is good, since it means that there will be no confusion with something completely different this term has been already used for.

And, in one short sentence, it would be: Fossil fuel companies should fight for the privilege of selling much less, since that would increase their profits.

 

 

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US Solar Market Slowly Catching Up

Mar 15 2013 Published by under Energy from the desert

Cleantechnica reports that the United States solar market grew by 76% last year, for a total of 3.1 GW installed. The reason for this is mainly that prices are way down. Module prices have gone down 41% in one year to $0.60 per watt.

However, there is still a lot of catching up to do. That 3.1 GW is equivalent to about 10 watt per person, the American population conveniently being around 0.31 billion.

Germany’s record last year was around 7.6 GW last year, and with population at around 0.082 billion, that works out to 92.7 watt per person, or close to ten times the United States record.

Kees van der Leun recently tweeted some fun calculations about what would happen if Germany’s record was reached everywhere. His result is 2,800 GW of capacity. Just for fun, let’s check that. World population is estimated at 7.072 billion. Divide by 0.082 for a factor of around 86. Dividing 2,800 by 86 gets around 32.6 GW, which is about right.

And the World would need to deploy 653 GW a year if everybody reached Germany’s level. That would be more like it for countering climate change than the present real records (30 GW in 2012, and cumulative 100 GW passed only recently).

 

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